Facing down brutal markets

December 10, 2020

Citywire’s Richard Lander sat down with Guy Anderson, manager of the Mercantile Investment Trust, to discuss the ins and outs of the fund in a three-part series. The second segment discusses the dramatic cuts in dividends seen this year and why investment trusts can be the ideal vehicle to weather such events

With interest rates at historic lows, income is a precious commodity for investors. But this year delivered a nasty shock as, at the peak of the Covid crisis, companies started to slash their dividend payments.

But as Guy Anderson points out, well-managed investment trusts have been able to cushion the blow, thanks to their ability to store up income reserves in strong markets, enabling them to smooth the dividend profile for their investors over time.

‘This is what makes investment trusts the ideal vehicle for the preservation of vital income,’ he says. ‘Taking Mercantile as an example, the trust has grown its annual dividend at an 8.5% compound annual growth rate over the last 30 years, which clearly demonstrates the income credentials both of this vehicle and the market in which we invest.’

The environment during the second quarter of 2020 was exceptionally brutal for companies. ‘At the height of the crisis, many businesses had to shut down and needed to preserve their cash so that they could remain viable operations. Their only realistic option was to make substantial dividend cuts: for FTSE 100 companies, Q2 dividends were cut by around 45%, while for mid-caps, as reflected by the FTSE 250, Q2 dividends were cut by around 76%.’

From a pure investment perspective, Anderson does not make investments specifically for the dividend- rather, it is a by-product of the investment case, which is focused on long-term capital growth.

‘Nevertheless, we realise that income is very important for our investors, and, because we had built up substantial dividend reserves over the years, our board was able to come out with a confident message as we delivered interim results in October. It stated that, despite the substantial hit to income during the crisis period, it would look to maintain at least the same dividend level as last year.’

As the economy gradually began to re-open, it was also gratifying to note the resilience of the trust’s underlying investment market, he says. ‘After coming out of that period, we saw businesses starting to pay dividends again as their operations restarted and they were able to operate profitably,’ he says.

But the crisis may have forced a market-wide re-think of the importance of dividends relative to the structure of an overall business, one that Anderson welcomes as it is in line with his own long-term view.

‘There’s a lot more to a company’s return profile than just the income. If investors focus solely on the income, it’s possible that they miss out on other things. What we’ve seen is that a certain cohort of the market were potentially over-paying in dividends and thus not investing enough in their own businesses.’

While companies clearly have to walk a difficult tightrope between dividend payments and investing in their own futures, Anderson thinks the crisis has given many the opportunity to reset their income at what seem more sustainable levels. ‘That should ultimately drive future growth, which for me is the most exciting part of the business case,’ he says.

In the end it’s more important to think first about the underlying economics of a business, rather than being tempted by what seems a gratifying dividend yield, he emphasises.

This is a marketing communication and as such the views contained herein do not form part of an offer, nor are they to be taken as advice or a recommendation, to buy or sell any investment or interest thereto. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Any research in this document has been obtained and may have been acted upon by J.P. Morgan Asset Management for its own purpose. The results of such research are being made available as additional information and do not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, statements of financial market trends or investment techniques and strategies expressed are unless otherwise stated, J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s own at the date of this document. They are considered to be reliable at the time of writing, may not necessarily be all inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. They may be subject to change without reference or notification to you. It should be noted that the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of the products or underlying overseas investments. Past performance and yield are not reliable indicators of current and future results. There is no guarantee that any forecast made will come to pass. Furthermore, whilst it is the intention to achieve the investment objective of the investment products, there can be no assurance that those objectives will be met. J.P. Morgan Asset Management is the brand name for the asset management business of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates worldwide. To the extent permitted by applicable law, we may record telephone calls and monitor electronic communications to comply with our legal and regulatory obligations and internal policies. Personal data will be collected, stored and processed by J.P. Morgan Asset Management in accordance with our EMEA Privacy Policy www.jpmorgan.com/emea-privacy-policy. Investment is subject to documentation. The Annual Reports and Financial Statements, AIFMD art. 23 Investor Disclosure Document and PRIIPs Key Information Document can be obtained free of charge from JPMorgan Funds Limited or www.jpmam.co.uk/investmenttrust. This communication is issued by JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited, which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England No: 01161446. Registered address: 25 Bank Street, Canary Wharf, London E14 5JP.
Material ID: 0903c02a82b01b90